ATP tennis predict — Richard Antoni vs Saba Purtseladze

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Richard Antoni

Germany

20.43%

Saba Purtseladze

Georgia

79.57%

Average Odds

4.91 / 1.14

Market probability

18.84% / 81.16%

Why This Prediction?

Saba Purtseladze is the favorite because he has better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0), more career match wins (26 vs 0) and more wins on hard courts (23 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1500 Elo 1317.7

1500 Elo (surface) 1496.2

0 Wins (Challenger) 26

0 Wins (surface) 23

0 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.879 Dominance ratio 0.879

1362 Rank 659

21.6 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Richard Antoni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Saba Purtseladze

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Richard Antoni Saba Purtseladze

1st Serve In %

—

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

22.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

90.9%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

28.6%

43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.89

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.67

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Richard Antoni Saba Purtseladze

Break Points Saved %

—

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

24.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

80.0%

44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Richard Antoni 0 – 0 Saba Purtseladze

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Saba Purtseladze #659

Richard Antoni #1362

6-1 6-4

0 Aces 8

4 Double Faults 6

43 Service Points 54

16 First Serve In 33

11 First Serve Won 30

12 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.9

Richard Antoni vs Saba Purtseladze — Prediction