ATP tennis predict — Renta Tokuda vs Millen Hurrion

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Renta Tokuda

Japan

81.66%

Millen Hurrion

Great Britain

18.34%

Average Odds

1.74 / 2.00

Market probability

53.48% / 46.52%

Why This Prediction?

Renta Tokuda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1473 vs 1291), more career match wins (53 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1480 vs 1298).

Player Comparison

1472.9 Elo 1291.1

1479.8 Elo (surface) 1298.4

53 Wins (Challenger) 2

51 Wins (surface) 2

5 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.056 Dominance ratio 0.900

466 Rank 714

28.3 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Renta Tokuda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Millen Hurrion

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Renta Tokuda Millen Hurrion

1st Serve In %

64.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

60.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.10

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.1%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Renta Tokuda Millen Hurrion

Break Points Saved %

41.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Renta Tokuda 0 – 0 Millen Hurrion

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Millen Hurrion #714

Renta Tokuda #466

7-5 6-1

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 56

55 First Serve In 43

28 First Serve Won 28

7 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 2

11 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2 Average Odds 1.7

Renta Tokuda vs Millen Hurrion — Prediction