ATP tennis predict — Renta Tokuda vs Kenta Miyoshi

Challenger Hard Winnipeg challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Renta Tokuda

Japan

22.39%

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

77.61%

Average Odds

2.33 / 1.45

Market probability

38.36% / 61.64%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1652 vs 1446), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1649 vs 1452) and a stronger return game (42.7% vs 36.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1445.6 Elo 1651.8

1452.4 Elo (surface) 1648.6

52 Wins (Challenger) 19

50 Wins (surface) 19

4 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.036 Dominance ratio 1.027

418 Rank -

28.3 Age 22.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Renta Tokuda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Renta Tokuda Kenta Miyoshi

1st Serve In %

64.1%

45.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.0%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.5%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.1%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.2%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Renta Tokuda Kenta Miyoshi

Break Points Saved %

41.7%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

25.0%

23.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Renta Tokuda 0 – 0 Kenta Miyoshi

Hard Winnipeg challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Renta Tokuda #466

Kenta Miyoshi #-

6-7 6-3 6-2

2 Aces 3

6 Double Faults 11

121 Service Points 103

81 First Serve In 54

54 First Serve Won 37

20 Second Serve Won 22

6 Break Points Saved 12

8 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.4

Renta Tokuda vs Kenta Miyoshi — Prediction