ATP tennis predict — Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canas

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Remy Bertola

Switzerland

43.97%

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

56.03%

Average Odds

2.38 / 1.54

Market probability

39.29% / 60.71%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1624 vs 1532), more wins on hard courts (58 vs 47) and a stronger serve (68.4% vs 63.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1631.0 Elo 1622.0

1532.4 Elo (surface) 1624.5

9 Wins 17

5 Wins (surface) 5

9 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.983 Dominance ratio 0.841

182 Rank 240

28.0 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Remy Bertola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Remy Bertola Alejandro Moro Canas

1st Serve In %

55.0%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.8%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.2%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.8%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

37.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Remy Bertola Alejandro Moro Canas

Break Points Saved %

58.6%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

59.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Remy Bertola 1 – 0 Alejandro Moro Canas

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Remy Bertola #174

Alejandro Moro Canas #235

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 3

10 Double Faults 3

66 Service Points 49

32 First Serve In 25

28 First Serve Won 19

17 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

11 Winners 9

25 Unforced Errors 23

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Oeiras 4 CH · 2025-04-14

Q2

Remy Bertola #292

Alejandro Moro Canas #156

7-6(4) 3-6 7-6(7)

2 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 4

114 Service Points 112

71 First Serve In 74

43 First Serve Won 46

20 Second Serve Won 20

9 Break Points Saved 3

16 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canas — Prediction