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Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wild — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Raul Brancaccio

Italy

44.67%

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

55.33%

Average Odds

1.72  /  1.73

Market probability

50.14%  /  49.86%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1719 vs 1557), fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.19) and more aces per game (0.24 vs 0.18).

Player Comparison

1557.2 Elo 1719.2
1582.3 Elo (surface) 1528.5
10 Wins 72
6 Wins (surface) 25
2 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.922 Dominance ratio 0.960
232 Rank 202
29.3 Age 26.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Raul Brancaccio

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raul Brancaccio Thiago Seyboth Wild

1st Serve In %

59.6%
64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%
70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%
54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%
23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%
49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%
61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%
71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%
55.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%
30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%
42.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raul Brancaccio Thiago Seyboth Wild

Break Points Saved %

58.1%
59.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.9%
61.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%
29.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Raul Brancaccio 00 Thiago Seyboth Wild

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Thiago Seyboth Wild #198

Raul Brancaccio #223

6-2 6-1
1 Aces 8
1 Double Faults 1
38 Service Points 56
19 First Serve In 30
9 First Serve Won 26
8 Second Serve Won 13
2 Break Points Saved 8
6 Break Points Faced 8
17 Winners 25
19 Unforced Errors 11
1.7 Average Odds 1.7

Raul Brancaccio — Last 10

W L L W W L L L W L

Thiago Seyboth Wild — Last 10

W W W W W L W W L W