ATP tennis predict — Raul Brancaccio vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · R16 19:30

Predicted probability

Raul Brancaccio

Italy

19.16%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Spain

80.84%

Average Odds

3.75 / 1.24

Market probability

24.85% / 75.15%

Why This Prediction?

Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1884 vs 1617), a higher Elo rating (1817 vs 1626) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1626.4 Elo 1817.4

1616.8 Elo (surface) 1884.0

166 Wins (Challenger) 90

116 Wins (surface) 69

7 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.015 Dominance ratio 1.101

224 Rank 126

29.4 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Raul Brancaccio

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raul Brancaccio Pablo Llamas Ruiz

1st Serve In %

59.6%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

30.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.08

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raul Brancaccio Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

63.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.9%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Raul Brancaccio 1 – 0 Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Raul Brancaccio #224

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #126

5-7 6-3 6-3

1 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

51 First Serve Won 47

14 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.8 Average Odds 1.2

Clay Marbella CH · 2022-03-28

Q1

Raul Brancaccio #276

Pablo Llamas Ruiz #651

6-0 6-2

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 0

41 Service Points 55

28 First Serve In 34

19 First Serve Won 14

8 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Raul Brancaccio vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz — Prediction