ATP tennis predict — Raul Brancaccio vs Filippo Romano

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Raul Brancaccio

Italy

56.81%

Filippo Romano

Italy

43.19%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.65

Market probability

45.58% / 54.42%

Why This Prediction?

Raul Brancaccio is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1621 vs 1430), a higher Elo rating (1629 vs 1571) and more wins on clay courts (117 vs 17).

Player Comparison

1629.3 Elo 1571.4

1620.5 Elo (surface) 1430.3

167 Wins (Challenger) 36

117 Wins (surface) 17

7 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.015 Dominance ratio 1.042

229 Rank 306

29.4 Age 21.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Raul Brancaccio

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Filippo Romano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raul Brancaccio Filippo Romano

1st Serve In %

59.6%

76.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

87.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

70.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

30.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

77.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raul Brancaccio Filippo Romano

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

80.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.9%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

36.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Raul Brancaccio 1 – 0 Filippo Romano

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

1. round

Raul Brancaccio #229

Filippo Romano #306

7-6 6-2

0 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 25

20 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 5

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Cesenatico CH · 2026-02-02

SF

Raul Brancaccio #401

Filippo Romano #634

6-4 6-3

1 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 1

56 Service Points 53

34 First Serve In 34

25 First Serve Won 25

15 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Raul Brancaccio vs Filippo Romano — Prediction