ATP tennis predict — Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moller

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · R16 14:00

Predicted probability

Raul Brancaccio

Italy

29.89%

Elmer Moller

Denmark

70.11%

Average Odds

2.18 / 1.56

Market probability

41.71% / 58.29%

Why This Prediction?

Elmer Moller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1708 vs 1555), a higher Elo rating (1698 vs 1561) and a stronger return game (52.0% vs 33.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1560.8 Elo 1697.5

1555.3 Elo (surface) 1708.0

164 Wins (Challenger) 87

114 Wins (surface) 73

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.980 Dominance ratio 1.306

237 Rank 184

29.3 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Raul Brancaccio

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Elmer Moller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raul Brancaccio Elmer Moller

1st Serve In %

59.6%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.2%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.8%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raul Brancaccio Elmer Moller

Break Points Saved %

58.1%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.9%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Raul Brancaccio 0 – 0 Elmer Moller

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-06

R16

Elmer Moller #184

Raul Brancaccio #237

7-6 7-6

0 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 7

92 Service Points 90

53 First Serve In 51

28 First Serve Won 32

15 Second Serve Won 15

6 Break Points Saved 4

12 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moller — Prediction