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Raphael Perot vs Robin Bertrand — Prediction

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · R16 13:00

Predicted probability

Raphael Perot

France

40.46%

Robin Bertrand

France

59.54%

Average Odds

1.37  /  2.92

Market probability

68.07%  /  31.93%

Why This Prediction?

Robin Bertrand is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (46 vs 3), more career match wins (47 vs 8) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1537 vs 1496).

Player Comparison

1516.2 Elo 1487.2
1495.9 Elo (surface) 1537.2
8 Wins (Challenger) 47
3 Wins (surface) 46
6 Last 15 form 5
1 Head-to-head wins 0
0.839 Dominance ratio 0.916
338 Rank 409
25.2 Age 23.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Raphael Perot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Robin Bertrand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raphael Perot Robin Bertrand

1st Serve In %

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.57

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.6%
63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.2%
62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%
49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%
30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%
53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.15
0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raphael Perot Robin Bertrand

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.7%
52.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%
47.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Raphael Perot 10 Robin Bertrand

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-10
6-1 6-0
0 Aces 3
3 Double Faults 1
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
9 First Serve Won 22
4 Second Serve Won 15
5 Break Points Saved 7
11 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.9 Average Odds 1.4
Clay Royan challenger · 2026-06-16
7-6 7-5
1 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 4
84 Service Points 97
64 First Serve In 70
41 First Serve Won 43
14 Second Serve Won 15
5 Break Points Saved 8
7 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Raphael Perot — Last 10

L W L L L L W W L W

Robin Bertrand — Last 10

L W W L L L L W L L