ATP tennis predict — Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot

ATP Clay Gstaad · QF

Predicted probability

Raphael Collignon

Belgium

69.91%

Valentin Vacherot

Monaco

30.09%

Average Odds

1.68 / 2.16

Market probability

56.25% / 43.75%

Why This Prediction?

Raphael Collignon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1796 vs 1619), a higher Elo rating (1827 vs 1752) and a better head-to-head record against Valentin Vacherot (1-0).

Player Comparison

1827.0 Elo 1752.3

1795.8 Elo (surface) 1619.3

29 Wins 50

10 Wins (surface) 21

10 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.134 Dominance ratio 1.082

42 Rank 21

24.5 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Raphael Collignon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Valentin Vacherot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raphael Collignon Valentin Vacherot

1st Serve In %

59.4%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.3%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.3%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raphael Collignon Valentin Vacherot

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

29.6%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.7%

73.2%

Break Points Converted %

51.5%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Raphael Collignon 1 – 0 Valentin Vacherot

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-17

QF

Raphael Collignon #42

Valentin Vacherot #21

7-6 4-6 7-5

14 Aces 13

8 Double Faults 6

94 Service Points 101

60 First Serve In 64

49 First Serve Won 50

18 Second Serve Won 20

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 4

33 Winners 41

31 Unforced Errors 43

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Oeiras 2 CH · 2023-01-09

R32

Raphael Collignon #263

Valentin Vacherot #289

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

74 Service Points 67

44 First Serve In 44

32 First Serve Won 28

17 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot — Prediction