ATP tennis predict — Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 2. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Raphael Collignon

Belgium

52.58%

Rinky Hijikata

Australia

47.42%

Average Odds

1.78 / 2.01

Market probability

53.03% / 46.97%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1784.7 Elo 1754.7

1570.0 Elo (surface) 1597.7

31 Wins 94

14 Wins (surface) 69

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.020 Dominance ratio 0.966

38 Rank 85

24.6 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Raphael Collignon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Rinky Hijikata

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raphael Collignon Rinky Hijikata

1st Serve In %

59.4%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.3%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.3%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raphael Collignon Rinky Hijikata

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

29.6%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.7%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

51.5%

54.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Raphael Collignon 0 – 0 Rinky Hijikata

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-25

2. round

Rinky Hijikata #85

Raphael Collignon #38

3-6 7-6 7-6

8 Aces 4

9 Double Faults 5

124 Service Points 120

70 First Serve In 59

48 First Serve Won 36

23 Second Serve Won 30

7 Break Points Saved 6

12 Break Points Faced 12

35 Winners 29

58 Unforced Errors 53

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikata — Prediction