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Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Prediction

ATP Clay Gstaad · SF

Predicted probability

Raphael Collignon

Belgium

47.06%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Argentina

52.94%

Average Odds

1.69  /  2.15

Market probability

55.99%  /  44.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1838.7 Elo 1844.8
1806.9 Elo (surface) 1845.1
30 Wins 78
11 Wins (surface) 65
10 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 3
1.148 Dominance ratio 0.931
42 Rank 45
24.5 Age 24.7
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Raphael Collignon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raphael Collignon Juan Manuel Cerundolo

1st Serve In %

59.4%
55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.3%
76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%
53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%
28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.3%
57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%
74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%
52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.3%
36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%
53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Raphael Collignon Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Break Points Saved %

63.4%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

29.6%
43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.7%
69.1%

Break Points Converted %

51.5%
46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Raphael Collignon 03 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-18
7 Aces 7
4 Double Faults 2
93 Service Points 104
58 First Serve In 55
43 First Serve Won 43
16 Second Serve Won 24
4 Break Points Saved 4
8 Break Points Faced 7
32 Winners 34
42 Unforced Errors 36
1.7 Average Odds 2.1
Grass Eastbourne · 2026-06-22
6-4 4-6 7-6
12 Aces 7
8 Double Faults 5
96 Service Points 100
67 First Serve In 56
54 First Serve Won 47
14 Second Serve Won 25
4 Break Points Saved 1
5 Break Points Faced 2
24 Winners 35
33 Unforced Errors 30
4.7 Average Odds 1.2
Clay Bordeaux CH · 2026-05-12
4 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 3
109 Service Points 95
60 First Serve In 67
46 First Serve Won 45
25 Second Serve Won 13
2 Break Points Saved 6
4 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Braunschweig CH · 2025-07-07
4 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 5
80 Service Points 99
50 First Serve In 55
36 First Serve Won 35
16 Second Serve Won 19
0 Break Points Saved 7
4 Break Points Faced 12
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Raphael Collignon — Last 10

L L L L L L W W W W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Last 10

L L W W L W W L W L