ATP tennis predict — Rafael Jodar vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 06:10

Predicted probability

Rafael Jodar

Spain

74.93%

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Argentina

25.07%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.83

Market probability

66.43% / 33.57%

Why This Prediction?

Rafael Jodar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2105 vs 1943), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1979 vs 1832) and a stronger return game (40.4% vs 35.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

2105.3 Elo 1943.3

1978.9 Elo (surface) 1831.7

46 Wins 68

25 Wins (surface) 31

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.130 Dominance ratio 1.152

13 Rank 54

20.1 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rafael Jodar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rafael Jodar Thiago Agustin Tirante

1st Serve In %

61.5%

54.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

76.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

56.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.5%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.6%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.0%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rafael Jodar Thiago Agustin Tirante

Break Points Saved %

58.0%

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

77.5%

54.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rafael Jodar and Thiago Agustin Tirante have never played each other.

Rafael Jodar vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Prediction