ATP tennis predict — Rafael Jodar vs Jiri Lehecka

ATP Hard Montreal · R16 02:25

Predicted probability

Rafael Jodar

Spain

65.65%

Jiri Lehecka

Czech Republic

34.35%

Average Odds

1.75 / 2.07

Market probability

54.19% / 45.81%

Why This Prediction?

Rafael Jodar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1911 vs 1802), a stronger return game (40.5% vs 34.8% of return points won) and better recent form (13 wins in his last 15 matches vs 10).

Player Comparison

1911.5 Elo 1802.1

1775.5 Elo (surface) 1796.0

41 Wins 160

20 Wins (surface) 109

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.159 Dominance ratio 1.083

15 Rank 12

19.9 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rafael Jodar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jiri Lehecka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rafael Jodar Jiri Lehecka

1st Serve In %

61.5%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

78.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

56.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.9%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.5%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.4%

68.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.8%

52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.6%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.0%

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rafael Jodar Jiri Lehecka

Break Points Saved %

58.0%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%

45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

77.5%

68.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rafael Jodar 0 – 0 Jiri Lehecka

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-09

R16

Rafael Jodar #15

Jiri Lehecka #12

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 2

57 Service Points 52

32 First Serve In 28

19 First Serve Won 24

11 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 3

11 Winners 14

34 Unforced Errors 10

1.8 Average Odds 2.1

Rafael Jodar vs Jiri Lehecka — Prediction