ATP tennis predict — Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Maxime Janvier

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Rafael Izquierdo Luque

Spain

15.44%

Maxime Janvier

France

84.56%

Average Odds

2.09 / 1.68

Market probability

44.56% / 55.44%

Why This Prediction?

Maxime Janvier is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1441 vs 1394), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1439 vs 1391) and more wins on clay courts (103 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1393.7 Elo 1441.2

1391.4 Elo (surface) 1439.3

0 Wins (Challenger) 237

0 Wins (surface) 103

0 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.671 Dominance ratio 0.872

698 Rank 566

26.6 Age 29.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Rafael Izquierdo Luque

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Maxime Janvier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rafael Izquierdo Luque Maxime Janvier

1st Serve In %

—

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.2%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.8%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

46.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.1%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Rafael Izquierdo Luque Maxime Janvier

Break Points Saved %

—

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

29.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

64.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Rafael Izquierdo Luque 0 – 0 Maxime Janvier

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Maxime Janvier #572

Rafael Izquierdo Luque #708

6-2 6-3

0 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 5

57 Service Points 58

37 First Serve In 35

19 First Serve Won 26

7 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Rafael Izquierdo Luque vs Maxime Janvier — Prediction