ATP tennis predict — Radu Mihai Papoe vs Matyas Cerny

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:10

Predicted probability

Radu Mihai Papoe

Romania

77.28%

Matyas Cerny

Czech Republic

22.72%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.54

Market probability

79.51% / 20.49%

Why This Prediction?

Radu Mihai Papoe is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1668 vs 1409), a higher Elo rating (1640 vs 1400) and a stronger return game (51.7% vs 42.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1639.7 Elo 1399.6

1668.4 Elo (surface) 1408.6

24 Wins (Challenger) 11

21 Wins (surface) 10

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.286 Dominance ratio 1.213

300 Rank 721

24.0 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Radu Mihai Papoe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Matyas Cerny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Radu Mihai Papoe Matyas Cerny

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.0%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.3%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.8%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.9%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Radu Mihai Papoe Matyas Cerny

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

40.3%

43.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.6%

43.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Radu Mihai Papoe 0 – 0 Matyas Cerny

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Radu Mihai Papoe #300

Matyas Cerny #721

6-2 6-3

4 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 2

62 Service Points 46

42 First Serve In 21

27 First Serve Won 11

11 Second Serve Won 9

5 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Radu Mihai Papoe vs Matyas Cerny — Prediction