ATP tennis predict — Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:10

Predicted probability

Radu David Turcanu

Romania

34.66%

Egor Agafonov

Russia

65.34%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.60

Market probability

64.36% / 35.64%

Why This Prediction?

Egor Agafonov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1436 vs 1430), better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1) and more career match wins (19 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1429.6 Elo 1436.1

1592.9 Elo (surface) 1470.3

1 Wins (Challenger) 19

0 Wins (surface) 19

1 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.703 Dominance ratio 0.847

766 Rank 670

20.5 Age 24.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Radu David Turcanu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Egor Agafonov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Radu David Turcanu Egor Agafonov

1st Serve In %

47.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

27.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.22

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.78

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.8%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.6%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.7%

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Radu David Turcanu Egor Agafonov

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

44.9%

61.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Radu David Turcanu 0 – 0 Egor Agafonov

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Radu David Turcanu #766

Egor Agafonov #670

6-2 6-1

5 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 5

46 Service Points 39

26 First Serve In 25

21 First Serve Won 15

10 Second Serve Won 2

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Radu David Turcanu vs Egor Agafonov — Prediction