ATP tennis predict — Radu Albot vs Yanki Erel

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Radu Albot

Moldavsko

51.26%

Yanki Erel

Turkey

48.74%

Average Odds

2.26 / 1.57

Market probability

40.99% / 59.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1574.4 Elo 1540.5

1644.7 Elo (surface) 1585.1

254 Wins (Challenger) 39

146 Wins (surface) 31

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.170 Dominance ratio 0.997

519 Rank 287

36.7 Age 25.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Radu Albot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Yanki Erel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Radu Albot Yanki Erel

1st Serve In %

63.2%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.1%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.1%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

66.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Radu Albot Yanki Erel

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

61.3%

Break Points Converted %

32.6%

52.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.7%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

29.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Radu Albot 0 – 0 Yanki Erel

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Yanki Erel #305

Radu Albot #497

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 19

11 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-29

R16

Yanki Erel #287

Radu Albot #519

6-1 6-7 6-4

3 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 2

112 Service Points 97

73 First Serve In 68

49 First Serve Won 50

17 Second Serve Won 15

10 Break Points Saved 4

15 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Radu Albot vs Yanki Erel — Prediction