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Radu Albot vs Saba Purtseladze — Prediction

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Radu Albot

Moldavsko

82.23%

Saba Purtseladze

Georgia

17.77%

Average Odds

1.41  /  2.69

Market probability

65.61%  /  34.39%

Why This Prediction?

Radu Albot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1565 vs 1259), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1633 vs 1461) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.40).

Player Comparison

1565.4 Elo 1258.7
1632.9 Elo (surface) 1461.3
254 Wins (Challenger) 24
146 Wins (surface) 21
7 Last 15 form 1
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.162 Dominance ratio 0.758
519 Rank 657
36.7 Age 25.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Radu Albot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Saba Purtseladze

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Radu Albot Saba Purtseladze

1st Serve In %

63.2%
59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%
65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.1%
45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%
22.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%
45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.15
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.1%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%
69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%
43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%
25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%
56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.20
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Radu Albot Saba Purtseladze

Break Points Saved %

46.8%
52.5%

Break Points Converted %

32.6%
24.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.7%
59.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%
44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Radu Albot 00 Saba Purtseladze

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Saba Purtseladze #657

Radu Albot #519

6-1 6-4
2 Aces 12
2 Double Faults 4
44 Service Points 57
29 First Serve In 29
15 First Serve Won 20
8 Second Serve Won 17
2 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Radu Albot — Last 10

L W W W L W L W W W

Saba Purtseladze — Last 10

L L L L W W L W L W