ATP tennis predict — Quinn Vandecasteele vs Noah Zamora

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · qualification - 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Quinn Vandecasteele

USA

79.25%

Noah Zamora

USA

20.75%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.69

Market probability

66.09% / 33.91%

Why This Prediction?

Quinn Vandecasteele is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1564 vs 1420), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1570 vs 1421) and more career match wins (48 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1563.7 Elo 1419.5

1569.7 Elo (surface) 1421.4

48 Wins (Challenger) 2

41 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.002 Dominance ratio 1.189

438 Rank 772

24.0 Age 23.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Quinn Vandecasteele

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Noah Zamora

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quinn Vandecasteele Noah Zamora

1st Serve In %

54.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.22

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.84

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%

51.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

57.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quinn Vandecasteele Noah Zamora

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Quinn Vandecasteele 0 – 0 Noah Zamora

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Quinn Vandecasteele #438

Noah Zamora #772

6-1 7-5

4 Aces 2

6 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 15

12 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Quinn Vandecasteele vs Noah Zamora — Prediction