ATP tennis predict — Quinn Vandecasteele vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 22:30

Predicted probability

Quinn Vandecasteele

USA

26.30%

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

73.70%

Average Odds

2.87 / 1.38

Market probability

32.47% / 67.53%

Why This Prediction?

Abedallah Shelbayh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1623 vs 1439), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1597 vs 1462) and more wins on hard courts (9 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1439.0 Elo 1622.9

1462.0 Elo (surface) 1597.4

47 Wins (Challenger) 100

40 Wins (surface) 78

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.942 Dominance ratio 0.850

471 Rank 267

23.9 Age 22.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Quinn Vandecasteele

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quinn Vandecasteele Abedallah Shelbayh

1st Serve In %

54.6%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.84

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.7%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quinn Vandecasteele Abedallah Shelbayh

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

69.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Quinn Vandecasteele 0 – 0 Abedallah Shelbayh

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-13

1. round

Quinn Vandecasteele #471

Abedallah Shelbayh #267

6-4 6-3

5 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

56 Service Points 51

33 First Serve In 33

21 First Serve Won 20

16 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Quinn Vandecasteele vs Abedallah Shelbayh — Prediction