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Quentin Halys vs Valentin Vacherot — Prediction

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · R16

Predicted probability

Quentin Halys

France

57.91%

Valentin Vacherot

Monaco

42.09%

Average Odds

2.49  /  1.53

Market probability

38.06%  /  61.94%

Why This Prediction?

Quentin Halys is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1756 vs 1609) and more wins on clay courts (28 vs 21).

Player Comparison

1709.0 Elo 1741.0
1756.5 Elo (surface) 1609.4
137 Wins 50
28 Wins (surface) 21
8 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.854 Dominance ratio 1.051
83 Rank 19
29.7 Age 27.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Valentin Vacherot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Valentin Vacherot

1st Serve In %

57.4%
63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%
76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%
53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%
25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%
48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.74
0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%
64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%
76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%
53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%
33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%
49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.66
0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Valentin Vacherot

Break Points Saved %

72.5%
56.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%
37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.6%
73.2%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Quentin Halys 00 Valentin Vacherot

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-22
5 Aces 3
0 Double Faults 3
55 Service Points 56
30 First Serve In 31
23 First Serve Won 24
18 Second Serve Won 13
1 Break Points Saved 0
1 Break Points Faced 2
18 Winners 18
21 Unforced Errors 25
2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Quentin Halys — Last 10

L W L L W W W W W W

Valentin Vacherot — Last 10

L W W L L L L W L W