ATP tennis predict — Quentin Halys vs Soon Woo Kwon

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 21:00

Predicted probability

Quentin Halys

France

40.70%

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

59.30%

Average Odds

1.64 / 2.17

Market probability

56.96% / 43.04%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (38.8% vs 28.6% of return points won), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1767 vs 1749) and a higher Elo rating (1764 vs 1752).

Player Comparison

1752.3 Elo 1763.9

1748.7 Elo (surface) 1767.2

141 Wins 96

88 Wins (surface) 73

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.859 Dominance ratio 1.046

54 Rank 153

29.8 Age 28.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Soon Woo Kwon

1st Serve In %

57.4%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

76.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

53.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Soon Woo Kwon

Break Points Saved %

72.5%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

40.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.6%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

49.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Quentin Halys 0 – 0 Soon Woo Kwon

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-11

qualification - 1. round

Quentin Halys #54

Soon Woo Kwon #153

4-6 7-6 6-4

18 Aces 9

6 Double Faults 6

101 Service Points 95

55 First Serve In 51

51 First Serve Won 43

21 Second Serve Won 26

6 Break Points Saved 5

7 Break Points Faced 6

31 Winners 24

43 Unforced Errors 35

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Quentin Halys vs Soon Woo Kwon — Prediction