ATP tennis predict — Quentin Halys vs Mariano Navone

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · QF

Predicted probability

Quentin Halys

France

35.01%

Mariano Navone

Argentina

64.99%

Average Odds

2.83 / 1.42

Market probability

33.41% / 66.59%

Why This Prediction?

Mariano Navone is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1784 vs 1719), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1817 vs 1766) and a stronger return game (40.1% vs 29.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1719.0 Elo 1783.6

1765.7 Elo (surface) 1817.0

138 Wins 62

29 Wins (surface) 50

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.818 Dominance ratio 0.957

83 Rank 47

29.7 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mariano Navone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Mariano Navone

1st Serve In %

57.4%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

56.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.05

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Mariano Navone

Break Points Saved %

72.5%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.6%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

50.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Quentin Halys 0 – 1 Mariano Navone

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-23

QF

Quentin Halys #83

Mariano Navone #47

7-5 6-3

2 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 1

55 Service Points 60

39 First Serve In 35

24 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

11 Winners 22

17 Unforced Errors 32

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Clay Aix-en-Provence CH · 2025-04-29

R16

Mariano Navone #85

Quentin Halys #52

6-2 6-4

1 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

50 Service Points 63

31 First Serve In 38

24 First Serve Won 27

13 Second Serve Won 7

2 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Quentin Halys vs Mariano Navone — Prediction