ATP tennis predict — Quentin Halys vs Bu Yunchaokete

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Quentin Halys

France

63.95%

Bu Yunchaokete

China

36.05%

Average Odds

1.64 / 2.17

Market probability

56.96% / 43.04%

Why This Prediction?

Quentin Halys is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1760 vs 1726), a stronger return game (36.6% vs 29.6% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (89 vs 29).

Player Comparison

1761.7 Elo 1814.1

1760.1 Elo (surface) 1726.4

142 Wins 34

89 Wins (surface) 29

10 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.870 Dominance ratio 1.000

54 Rank 118

29.8 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Bu Yunchaokete

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Bu Yunchaokete

1st Serve In %

57.4%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

79.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

43.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Bu Yunchaokete

Break Points Saved %

72.5%

40.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.6%

38.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

18.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Quentin Halys 1 – 0 Bu Yunchaokete

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

Quentin Halys #54

Bu Yunchaokete #118

6-2 7-6

14 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 71

36 First Serve In 40

34 First Serve Won 29

10 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 4

31 Winners 16

19 Unforced Errors 23

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Hard Paris Masters · 2024-10-28

Q2

Quentin Halys #90

Bu Yunchaokete #74

3-6 7-6(4) 6-3

23 Aces 9

2 Double Faults 2

92 Service Points 96

55 First Serve In 59

45 First Serve Won 43

23 Second Serve Won 20

3 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Quentin Halys vs Bu Yunchaokete — Prediction