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Quentin Halys vs Alexander Shevchenko — Prediction

ATP Clay Gstaad · QF

Predicted probability

Quentin Halys

France

45.20%

Alexander Shevchenko

Kazakhstan

54.80%

Average Odds

1.63  /  2.24

Market probability

57.88%  /  42.12%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1695.2 Elo 1700.0
1742.3 Elo (surface) 1700.5
135 Wins 87
26 Wins (surface) 33
6 Last 15 form 7
3 Head-to-head wins 1
0.927 Dominance ratio 1.085
90 Rank 100
29.7 Age 25.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alexander Shevchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Alexander Shevchenko

1st Serve In %

57.4%
57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%
74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%
55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%
23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%
51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.74
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%
64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%
70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%
53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%
39.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%
52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.66
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Alexander Shevchenko

Break Points Saved %

72.5%
72.6%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%
38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.6%
65.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Quentin Halys 31 Alexander Shevchenko

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-17
7 Aces 4
1 Double Faults 3
61 Service Points 82
36 First Serve In 51
29 First Serve Won 42
14 Second Serve Won 15
0 Break Points Saved 5
1 Break Points Faced 5
22 Winners 16
38 Unforced Errors 20
2.2 Average Odds 1.6
Hard Dubai · 2026-02-23
15 Aces 8
5 Double Faults 1
77 Service Points 79
51 First Serve In 48
40 First Serve Won 35
17 Second Serve Won 20
0 Break Points Saved 2
0 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Basel · 2025-10-20
6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(2)
26 Aces 11
4 Double Faults 5
110 Service Points 103
71 First Serve In 70
57 First Serve Won 52
21 Second Serve Won 17
2 Break Points Saved 3
3 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Phoenix CH · 2023-03-13
6-7(3) 6-4 6-3
5 Aces 8
4 Double Faults 4
100 Service Points 118
57 First Serve In 65
40 First Serve Won 46
23 Second Serve Won 19
2 Break Points Saved 12
5 Break Points Faced 17
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Tenerife CH · 2021-11-01
6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
5 Aces 4
7 Double Faults 3
113 Service Points 88
75 First Serve In 50
55 First Serve Won 37
14 Second Serve Won 17
10 Break Points Saved 4
12 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Quentin Halys — Last 10

L W L L W W W W W W

Alexander Shevchenko — Last 10

L L L W L L L W W W