ATP tennis predict — Quentin Halys vs Alex De Minaur

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Quentin Halys

France

33.21%

Alex De Minaur

Australia

66.79%

Average Odds

3.30 / 1.33

Market probability

28.73% / 71.27%

Why This Prediction?

Alex De Minaur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1887 vs 1780), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1854 vs 1774) and a stronger return game (42.4% vs 28.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1779.6 Elo 1887.4

1774.5 Elo (surface) 1853.7

144 Wins 351

91 Wins (surface) 255

12 Last 15 form 10

2 Head-to-head wins 0

0.897 Dominance ratio 1.163

54 Rank 7

29.8 Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alex De Minaur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Alex De Minaur

1st Serve In %

57.4%

55.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.5%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

66.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%

74.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

58.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.3%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Quentin Halys Alex De Minaur

Break Points Saved %

72.5%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.6%

71.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Quentin Halys 2 – 0 Alex De Minaur

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

2. round

Alex De Minaur #7

Quentin Halys #54

1-6 6-3 7-6

9 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 6

100 Service Points 86

52 First Serve In 46

41 First Serve Won 33

25 Second Serve Won 26

11 Break Points Saved 5

12 Break Points Faced 7

32 Winners 25

41 Unforced Errors 34

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Hard Miami Masters · 2023-03-20

R64

Quentin Halys #79

Alex De Minaur #18

6-7(5) 7-6(3) 7-6(8)

21 Aces 2

10 Double Faults 2

138 Service Points 122

77 First Serve In 83

61 First Serve Won 62

27 Second Serve Won 20

8 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lyon · 2017-05-22

Q1

Quentin Halys #126

Alex De Minaur #234

6-7(5) 6-2 7-6(8)

17 Aces 1

11 Double Faults 4

120 Service Points 105

62 First Serve In 62

46 First Serve Won 33

28 Second Serve Won 28

6 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 6