ATP tennis predict — Pol Martin Tiffon vs Zsombor Piros

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · R16 13:30

Predicted probability

Pol Martin Tiffon

Spain

24.17%

Zsombor Piros

Hungary

75.83%

Average Odds

3.21 / 1.32

Market probability

29.14% / 70.86%

Why This Prediction?

Zsombor Piros is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1829 vs 1633), a higher Elo rating (1856 vs 1669) and a stronger return game (38.7% vs 32.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1668.8 Elo 1856.0

1633.5 Elo (surface) 1829.1

77 Wins (Challenger) 222

60 Wins (surface) 149

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.111 Dominance ratio 1.162

215 Rank 114

27.2 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Zsombor Piros

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 15W–6L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pol Martin Tiffon Zsombor Piros

1st Serve In %

61.1%

54.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

60.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.7%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

58.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pol Martin Tiffon Zsombor Piros

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

70.4%

Break Points Converted %

30.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

59.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pol Martin Tiffon 0 – 1 Zsombor Piros

Hard Oeiras 2 CH · 2025-01-13

R16

Zsombor Piros #238

Pol Martin Tiffon #252

5-2 RET

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 3

24 Service Points 30

10 First Serve In 15

6 First Serve Won 9

10 Second Serve Won 5

2 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Pol Martin Tiffon vs Zsombor Piros — Prediction