ATP tennis predict — Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzsch

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Pol Martin Tiffon

Spain

36.55%

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

63.45%

Average Odds

2.38 / 1.46

Market probability

38.02% / 61.98%

Why This Prediction?

Tom Gentzsch is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1758 vs 1631), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1657 vs 1630) and more wins on hard courts (21 vs 17).

Player Comparison

1631.4 Elo 1757.6

1630.4 Elo (surface) 1656.6

3 Wins 2

0 Wins (surface) 0

3 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.728 Dominance ratio 0.932

209 Rank 145

27.1 Age 23.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pol Martin Tiffon Tom Gentzsch

1st Serve In %

61.1%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pol Martin Tiffon Tom Gentzsch

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

30.8%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.7%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pol Martin Tiffon 0 – 0 Tom Gentzsch

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Tom Gentzsch #145

Pol Martin Tiffon #210

7-5 6-3

2 Aces 13

4 Double Faults 0

63 Service Points 71

38 First Serve In 44

25 First Serve Won 36

13 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 6

10 Winners 24

23 Unforced Errors 18

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzsch — Prediction