ATP tennis predict — Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · R16 14:00

Predicted probability

Pol Martin Tiffon

Spain

61.30%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Ukraine

38.70%

Average Odds

1.24 / 3.47

Market probability

73.67% / 26.33%

Why This Prediction?

Pol Martin Tiffon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1630 vs 1567), a stronger return game (41.3% vs 38.7% of return points won) and more wins on clay courts (57 vs 13).

Player Comparison

1630.5 Elo 1567.0

1609.7 Elo (surface) 1614.2

74 Wins (Challenger) 18

57 Wins (surface) 13

12 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.103 Dominance ratio 1.072

210 Rank 629

27.1 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pol Martin Tiffon Oleksandr Ovcharenko

1st Serve In %

61.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.49

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pol Martin Tiffon Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

30.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.7%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pol Martin Tiffon 0 – 0 Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-02

R16

Oleksandr Ovcharenko #629

Pol Martin Tiffon #210

6-7 6-4 6-1

3 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 1

97 Service Points 85

56 First Serve In 62

38 First Serve Won 48

17 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 2

12 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.5 Average Odds 1.2

Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko — Prediction