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Pol Martin Tiffon vs Juan Pablo Ficovich — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Pol Martin Tiffon

Spain

66.70%

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Argentina

33.30%

Average Odds

1.45  /  2.59

Market probability

64.11%  /  35.89%

Why This Prediction?

Pol Martin Tiffon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1620 vs 1499), a stronger return game (41.5% vs 38.5% of return points won) and a stronger serve (64.0% vs 60.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1619.7 Elo 1498.8
1591.5 Elo (surface) 1598.5
73 Wins (Challenger) 191
56 Wins (surface) 142
11 Last 15 form 4
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.152 Dominance ratio 0.969
210 Rank 379
27.1 Age 29.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pol Martin Tiffon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pol Martin Tiffon Juan Pablo Ficovich

1st Serve In %

61.1%
60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%
63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.1%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.3%
24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%
51.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.49
0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%
64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%
51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%
29.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%
47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pol Martin Tiffon Juan Pablo Ficovich

Break Points Saved %

60.3%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

30.8%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.7%
52.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%
40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pol Martin Tiffon 10 Juan Pablo Ficovich

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-09-01
1 Aces 3
6 Double Faults 0
65 Service Points 70
34 First Serve In 58
24 First Serve Won 36
17 Second Serve Won 7
0 Break Points Saved 7
1 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.6
Clay Quito CH · 2021-09-13
10 Aces 9
3 Double Faults 4
77 Service Points 75
46 First Serve In 53
37 First Serve Won 40
19 Second Serve Won 12
5 Break Points Saved 2
6 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Pol Martin Tiffon — Last 10

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Juan Pablo Ficovich — Last 10

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