ATP tennis predict — Pietro Marino vs Michael Zhu

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Pietro Marino

Italy

37.47%

Michael Zhu

USA

62.53%

Average Odds

1.30 / 3.23

Market probability

71.30% / 28.70%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Zhu is the favorite because he has better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0), more career match wins (8 vs 0) and a stronger return game (35.6% vs 26.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1458.6 Elo 1364.1

1500 Elo (surface) 1403.9

0 Wins (Challenger) 8

0 Wins (surface) 2

0 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.520 Dominance ratio 0.800

987 Rank 866

25.2 Age 34.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pietro Marino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Michael Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pietro Marino Michael Zhu

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

71.2%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.3%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

32.8%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.0%

43.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pietro Marino Michael Zhu

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

48.5%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.7%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pietro Marino 0 – 0 Michael Zhu

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Pietro Marino #987

Michael Zhu #866

6-1 6-3

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 3

44 Service Points 46

37 First Serve In 25

25 First Serve Won 10

2 Second Serve Won 4

2 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Pietro Marino vs Michael Zhu — Prediction