ATP tennis predict — Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Pierre Hugues Herbert

France

34.92%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

65.08%

Average Odds

2.41 / 1.48

Market probability

38.05% / 61.95%

Why This Prediction?

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1727 vs 1676), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1738 vs 1706) and a stronger return game (36.6% vs 33.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1675.7 Elo 1727.2

1706.0 Elo (surface) 1738.0

163 Wins (Challenger) 64

126 Wins (surface) 44

8 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 1

0.888 Dominance ratio 0.956

278 Rank 217

35.5 Age 23.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pierre Hugues Herbert

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

1st Serve In %

58.9%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.4%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.2%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pierre Hugues Herbert 1 – 1 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Hard Quimper CH · 2025-01-20

F

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #470

Pierre Hugues Herbert #147

6-7(3) 6-1 6-2

12 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 2

91 Service Points 79

52 First Serve In 54

42 First Serve Won 35

22 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 0

2 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Montpellier · 2022-01-31

Q1

Pierre Hugues Herbert #113

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #928

4-6 6-3 6-2

5 Aces 9

6 Double Faults 9

101 Service Points 101

59 First Serve In 54

41 First Serve Won 36

24 Second Serve Won 23

12 Break Points Saved 6

13 Break Points Faced 9