ATP tennis predict — Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteele

ATP Hard Winston Salem · qualification - quarterfinal 19:00

Predicted probability

Pierre Hugues Herbert

France

62.80%

Quinn Vandecasteele

USA

37.20%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.62

Market probability

64.53% / 35.47%

Why This Prediction?

Pierre Hugues Herbert is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1682 vs 1502), a higher Elo rating (1640 vs 1483) and a stronger serve (67.1% vs 50.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1640.3 Elo 1483.2

1681.9 Elo (surface) 1501.6

223 Wins 1

142 Wins (surface) 1

7 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.999 Dominance ratio 0.557

287 Rank 483

35.4 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pierre Hugues Herbert

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Quinn Vandecasteele

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Quinn Vandecasteele

1st Serve In %

58.9%

54.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.84

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Quinn Vandecasteele

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.4%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.2%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pierre Hugues Herbert 0 – 0 Quinn Vandecasteele

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-23

qualification - quarterfinal

Quinn Vandecasteele #483

Pierre Hugues Herbert #287

3-6 7-6 7-5

1 Aces 5

15 Double Faults 7

115 Service Points 105

62 First Serve In 52

44 First Serve Won 36

24 Second Serve Won 28

8 Break Points Saved 4

12 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteele — Prediction