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Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Norbert Gombos — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Norbert Gombos

Slovakia

49.08%

Average Odds

1.66  /  2.09

Market probability

55.73%  /  44.27%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1668.1 Elo 1699.0
1696.4 Elo (surface) 1594.8
163 Wins (Challenger) 337
126 Wins (surface) 156
8 Last 15 form 11
2 Head-to-head wins 0
0.888 Dominance ratio 1.217
296 Rank 355
35.6 Age 36.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pierre Hugues Herbert

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Norbert Gombos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 10W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 12W–1L · 92.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–8L · 11.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Norbert Gombos

1st Serve In %

58.9%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%
73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
59.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%
28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%
47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.3%
62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%
77.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.0%
57.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%
32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%
50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.55
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.48
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Norbert Gombos

Break Points Saved %

54.4%
70.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.4%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.4%
64.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pierre Hugues Herbert 2 – 0 Norbert Gombos

Hard Marseille · 2018-02-19
9 Aces 8
1 Double Faults 2
70 Service Points 65
43 First Serve In 37
37 First Serve Won 28
13 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 2
2 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Orleans CH · 2016-09-26
17 Aces 15
7 Double Faults 1
105 Service Points 96
55 First Serve In 66
44 First Serve Won 49
27 Second Serve Won 15
8 Break Points Saved 7
9 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Pierre Hugues Herbert — Last 10

L L L W L L L L W W

Norbert Gombos — Last 10

W W L W L W W W L W