ATP tennis predict — Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Kenta Miyoshi

ATP Hard Winston Salem · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Pierre Hugues Herbert

France

36.12%

Kenta Miyoshi

Japan

63.88%

Average Odds

1.81 / 1.91

Market probability

51.34% / 48.66%

Why This Prediction?

Kenta Miyoshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1682 vs 1630), fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.20) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1691 vs 1671).

Player Comparison

1630.1 Elo 1681.7

1670.7 Elo (surface) 1691.4

222 Wins 0

141 Wins (surface) 0

6 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.978 Dominance ratio 0.764

287 Rank -

35.4 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pierre Hugues Herbert

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Kenta Miyoshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Kenta Miyoshi

1st Serve In %

58.9%

45.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.1%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.45

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

73.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

36.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.52

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Hugues Herbert Kenta Miyoshi

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

42.9%

Break Points Converted %

35.4%

23.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.2%

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pierre Hugues Herbert 0 – 0 Kenta Miyoshi

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-22

qualification - round of 16

Pierre Hugues Herbert #287

Kenta Miyoshi #-

6-2 4-6 6-2

2 Aces 1

10 Double Faults 7

90 Service Points 89

47 First Serve In 41

35 First Serve Won 24

17 Second Serve Won 23

5 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Pierre Hugues Herbert vs Kenta Miyoshi — Prediction