ATP tennis predict — Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Mathieu Scaglia

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Pierre Antoine Tailleu

France

57.00%

Mathieu Scaglia

France

43.00%

Average Odds

2.42 / 1.51

Market probability

38.42% / 61.58%

Why This Prediction?

Pierre Antoine Tailleu is the favorite because he has a lighter recent match load (30 vs 31 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1475.9 Elo 1482.7

1463.8 Elo (surface) 1523.5

1 Wins (Challenger) 1

1 Wins (surface) 1

1 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.716 Dominance ratio 0.852

1321 Rank 979

23.0 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pierre Antoine Tailleu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Mathieu Scaglia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Antoine Tailleu Mathieu Scaglia

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.0%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierre Antoine Tailleu Mathieu Scaglia

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

25.9%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pierre Antoine Tailleu 0 – 0 Mathieu Scaglia

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Mathieu Scaglia #979

Pierre Antoine Tailleu #1321

7-6 2-6 7-6

14 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 7

117 Service Points 108

59 First Serve In 59

46 First Serve Won 44

34 Second Serve Won 26

9 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Mathieu Scaglia — Prediction