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Pierluigi Basile vs Martin Krumich — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · R16 16:30

Predicted probability

Pierluigi Basile

Italy

58.89%

Martin Krumich

Czech Republic

41.11%

Average Odds

2.21  /  1.61

Market probability

42.15%  /  57.85%

Why This Prediction?

Pierluigi Basile is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (63.3% vs 57.1% of service points won), a stronger return game (38.9% vs 34.0% of return points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1623.3 Elo 1665.7
1640.3 Elo (surface) 1651.0
19 Wins (Challenger) 76
18 Wins (surface) 64
9 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.060 Dominance ratio 0.793
542 Rank 254
19.7 Age 23.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pierluigi Basile

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Martin Krumich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–7L · 58.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierluigi Basile Martin Krumich

1st Serve In %

63.7%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%
70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%
43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.4%
29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.5%
47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.56
0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.7%
56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
66.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%
54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

45.1%
23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.7%
42.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierluigi Basile Martin Krumich

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
61.8%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%
32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%
61.4%

Break Points Converted %

41.8%
16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pierluigi Basile and Martin Krumich have never played each other.

Pierluigi Basile — Last 10

W W W L W L W W L L

Martin Krumich — Last 10

W L W L W L L W W L