ATP tennis predict — Pierluigi Basile vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Pierluigi Basile

Italy

49.30%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Brazil

50.70%

Average Odds

2.06 / 1.70

Market probability

45.21% / 54.79%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1591.7 Elo 1672.1

1605.0 Elo (surface) 1685.3

15 Wins (Challenger) 133

14 Wins (surface) 125

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.060 Dominance ratio 0.886

553 Rank 220

19.7 Age 26.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pierluigi Basile

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierluigi Basile Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

1st Serve In %

63.7%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.4%

22.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.5%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.3%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.07

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierluigi Basile Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.8%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pierluigi Basile and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva have never played each other.

Pierluigi Basile vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Prediction