ATP tennis predict — Pierluigi Basile vs Giovanni Oradini

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Pierluigi Basile

Italy

59.75%

Giovanni Oradini

Italy

40.25%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.44

Market probability

62.40% / 37.60%

Why This Prediction?

Pierluigi Basile is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1592 vs 1502), a higher Elo rating (1581 vs 1487) and a stronger return game (38.9% vs 35.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1581.3 Elo 1487.1

1592.3 Elo (surface) 1501.6

16 Wins (Challenger) 45

15 Wins (surface) 32

8 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.060 Dominance ratio 0.956

547 Rank 683

19.7 Age 29.0

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Pierluigi Basile

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Giovanni Oradini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierluigi Basile Giovanni Oradini

1st Serve In %

63.7%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.4%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.5%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.3%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Pierluigi Basile Giovanni Oradini

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

21.4%

18.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.8%

26.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Pierluigi Basile 1 – 0 Giovanni Oradini

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Giovanni Oradini #683

Pierluigi Basile #547

4-6 6-3 6-1

4 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

36 First Serve Won 38

15 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 8

9 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Pierluigi Basile #553

Giovanni Oradini #681

6-4 7-6

10 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

38 First Serve Won 29

8 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Pierluigi Basile vs Giovanni Oradini — Prediction