ATP tennis predict — Philip Sekulic vs Murphy Cassone

Challenger Hard Granby challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Philip Sekulic

Australia

40.53%

Murphy Cassone

USA

59.47%

Average Odds

2.45 / 1.51

Market probability

38.13% / 61.87%

Why This Prediction?

Murphy Cassone is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1647 vs 1535), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1631 vs 1548) and more career match wins (79 vs 67).

Player Comparison

1535.5 Elo 1646.7

1547.9 Elo (surface) 1631.0

67 Wins (Challenger) 79

67 Wins (surface) 71

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.197 Dominance ratio 0.929

317 Rank 287

22.9 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Philip Sekulic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-01.

Murphy Cassone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Sekulic Murphy Cassone

1st Serve In %

62.7%

67.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.5%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.4%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.1%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Sekulic Murphy Cassone

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

27.4%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.3%

58.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

57.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Philip Sekulic 0 – 1 Murphy Cassone

Hard Granby challenger · 2026-07-17

QF

Murphy Cassone #287

Philip Sekulic #317

6-2 6-1

3 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 2

36 Service Points 43

25 First Serve In 29

12 First Serve Won 22

5 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hard Winston Salem CH · 2025-09-08

R16

Murphy Cassone #177

Philip Sekulic #473

6-1 6-4

4 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 2

54 Service Points 53

33 First Serve In 33

24 First Serve Won 18

12 Second Serve Won 9

7 Break Points Saved 6

8 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Philip Sekulic vs Murphy Cassone — Prediction