ATP tennis predict — Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Philip Henning

RSA

35.40%

Tristan Schoolkate

Australia

64.60%

Average Odds

2.68 / 1.39

Market probability

34.15% / 65.85%

Why This Prediction?

Tristan Schoolkate is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1753 vs 1624), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1716 vs 1678) and a stronger serve (64.5% vs 58.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1624.2 Elo 1753.0

1678.2 Elo (surface) 1716.4

27 Wins (Challenger) 121

24 Wins (surface) 102

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.970 Dominance ratio 1.009

268 Rank 152

25.9 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Philip Henning

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tristan Schoolkate

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Henning Tristan Schoolkate

1st Serve In %

67.8%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

43.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Henning Tristan Schoolkate

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Philip Henning and Tristan Schoolkate have never played each other.

Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate — Prediction