ATP tennis predict — Philip Henning vs Thijs Boogaard

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Philip Henning

RSA

55.30%

Thijs Boogaard

Netherlands

44.70%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.76

Market probability

66.35% / 33.65%

Why This Prediction?

Philip Henning is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1656 vs 1471), more career match wins (27 vs 4) and a stronger return game (40.2% vs 38.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1609.5 Elo 1601.7

1656.3 Elo (surface) 1471.0

27 Wins (Challenger) 4

24 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.970 Dominance ratio 0.864

266 Rank 481

25.9 Age 18.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Philip Henning

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Thijs Boogaard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Henning Thijs Boogaard

1st Serve In %

67.8%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

21.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.4%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Henning Thijs Boogaard

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

65.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

37.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.9%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.1%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Philip Henning and Thijs Boogaard have never played each other.

Philip Henning vs Thijs Boogaard — Prediction