ATP tennis predict — Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Philip Henning

RSA

45.18%

Maks Kasnikowski

Poland

54.82%

Average Odds

2.16 / 1.64

Market probability

43.16% / 56.84%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1647.9 Elo 1702.5

1681.8 Elo (surface) 1652.0

29 Wins (Challenger) 110

26 Wins (surface) 67

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.970 Dominance ratio 1.047

267 Rank 238

25.9 Age 23.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Philip Henning

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Maks Kasnikowski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Henning Maks Kasnikowski

1st Serve In %

67.8%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Henning Maks Kasnikowski

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.0%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.1%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Philip Henning 0 – 1 Maks Kasnikowski

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Maks Kasnikowski #231

Philip Henning #298

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 9

1 Double Faults 2

54 Service Points 64

36 First Serve In 26

21 First Serve Won 21

9 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski — Prediction