ATP tennis predict — Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Philip Henning

RSA

39.81%

Maks Kasnikowski

Poland

60.19%

Average Odds

2.47 / 1.48

Market probability

37.47% / 62.53%

Why This Prediction?

Maks Kasnikowski is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country, a stronger serve (66.5% vs 59.9% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1654 vs 1618).

Player Comparison

1618.4 Elo 1654.4

1707.8 Elo (surface) 1662.3

27 Wins (Challenger) 105

24 Wins (surface) 62

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.979 Dominance ratio 1.144

298 Rank 231

25.7 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Philip Henning

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Maks Kasnikowski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Henning Maks Kasnikowski

1st Serve In %

67.8%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.2%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Philip Henning Maks Kasnikowski

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.6%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Philip Henning 0 – 0 Maks Kasnikowski

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Maks Kasnikowski #231

Philip Henning #298

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 9

1 Double Faults 2

54 Service Points 64

36 First Serve In 26

21 First Serve Won 21

9 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski — Prediction