ATP tennis predict — Petros Tsitsipas vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Petros Tsitsipas

Greece

22.88%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Ukraine

77.12%

Average Odds

5.50 / 1.12

Market probability

16.92% / 83.08%

Why This Prediction?

Oleksandr Ovcharenko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1483 vs 1221), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1521 vs 1271) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.35).

Player Comparison

1220.8 Elo 1482.9

1271.4 Elo (surface) 1521.3

6 Wins (Challenger) 13

1 Wins (surface) 8

3 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.675 Dominance ratio 0.963

968 Rank 613

26.0 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petros Tsitsipas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petros Tsitsipas Oleksandr Ovcharenko

1st Serve In %

58.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

19.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.8%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.4%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.64

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petros Tsitsipas Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

—

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.3%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petros Tsitsipas 0 – 0 Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Oleksandr Ovcharenko #617

Petros Tsitsipas #980

7-5 6-4

13 Aces 5

6 Double Faults 2

61 Service Points 56

29 First Serve In 35

26 First Serve Won 34

14 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.5

Petros Tsitsipas vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko — Prediction