ATP tennis predict — Petr Nesterov vs Radu Mihai Papoe

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · SF 19:00

Predicted probability

Petr Nesterov

Bulgaria

48.25%

Radu Mihai Papoe

Romania

51.75%

Average Odds

2.25 / 1.57

Market probability

41.10% / 58.90%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1622.4 Elo 1651.9

1622.8 Elo (surface) 1686.5

36 Wins (Challenger) 23

27 Wins (surface) 20

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.697 Dominance ratio 1.167

364 Rank 352

23.4 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Nesterov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Radu Mihai Papoe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Nesterov Radu Mihai Papoe

1st Serve In %

59.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.34

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

59.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Nesterov Radu Mihai Papoe

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.4%

40.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Nesterov 0 – 0 Radu Mihai Papoe

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-08

SF

Petr Nesterov #364

Radu Mihai Papoe #352

7-5 6-3

4 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 0

80 Service Points 72

45 First Serve In 54

31 First Serve Won 23

15 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Petr Nesterov vs Radu Mihai Papoe — Prediction