ATP tennis predict — Petr Nesterov vs Radu Albot

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Petr Nesterov

Bulgaria

59.22%

Radu Albot

Moldavsko

40.78%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.28

Market probability

59.84% / 40.16%

Why This Prediction?

Petr Nesterov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1618 vs 1581), a higher Elo rating (1613 vs 1595) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.14).

Player Comparison

1613.3 Elo 1595.1

1617.6 Elo (surface) 1581.0

37 Wins (Challenger) 261

9 Wins (surface) 151

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.737 Dominance ratio 1.274

300 Rank 464

23.6 Age 36.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Nesterov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Radu Albot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Nesterov Radu Albot

1st Serve In %

59.7%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.7%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

34.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

66.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

56.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Nesterov Radu Albot

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

46.8%

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

32.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.4%

54.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

46.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Nesterov and Radu Albot have never played each other.

Petr Nesterov vs Radu Albot — Prediction