ATP tennis predict — Petr Nesterov vs Christian Langmo

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Petr Nesterov

Bulgaria

71.94%

Christian Langmo

USA

28.06%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.84

Market probability

67.30% / 32.70%

Why This Prediction?

Petr Nesterov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1657 vs 1461), a higher Elo rating (1651 vs 1510) and more wins on hard courts (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1651.0 Elo 1510.1

1656.9 Elo (surface) 1461.1

42 Wins (Challenger) 92

14 Wins (surface) 74

9 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.737 Dominance ratio 0.971

298 Rank 534

23.6 Age 30.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Nesterov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Christian Langmo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Nesterov Christian Langmo

1st Serve In %

59.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.34

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

66.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.7%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.2%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.0%

20.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Nesterov Christian Langmo

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.2%

69.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Nesterov 1 – 0 Christian Langmo

Hard Hersonissos 1 CH · 2026-03-02

Q1

Petr Nesterov #477

Christian Langmo #443

3-6 6-4 6-2

1 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 6

81 Service Points 97

45 First Serve In 65

27 First Serve Won 39

25 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Petr Nesterov vs Christian Langmo — Prediction