ATP tennis predict — Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Petr Nesterov

Bulgaria

55.06%

Calvin Hemery

France

44.94%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.09

Market probability

55.73% / 44.27%

Why This Prediction?

Petr Nesterov is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (41.8% vs 30.3% of return points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.18).

Player Comparison

1618.0 Elo 1614.9

1620.1 Elo (surface) 1634.0

37 Wins (Challenger) 225

28 Wins (surface) 143

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.757 Dominance ratio 0.950

301 Rank 326

23.4 Age 31.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Petr Nesterov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Calvin Hemery

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Nesterov Calvin Hemery

1st Serve In %

59.7%

66.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

37.7%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.3%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.34

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

35.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Petr Nesterov Calvin Hemery

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

63.1%

Break Points Converted %

26.8%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.4%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Petr Nesterov and Calvin Hemery have never played each other.

Petr Nesterov vs Calvin Hemery — Prediction